Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.044533 0.052019 0.060255 0.069972 0.081106 0.093445 0.108140
2025-04-27 0.035055 0.045283 0.057578 0.073376 0.093056 0.116680 0.147094
2025-05-04 0.026715 0.037754 0.052105 0.071968 0.098558 0.132708 0.179637
2025-05-11 0.021251 0.032545 0.048285 0.071536 0.104659 0.149730 0.215181
2025-05-18 0.016848 0.027789 0.044039 0.069505 0.107863 0.162801 0.246543
2025-05-25 0.013686 0.024176 0.040692 0.067999 0.111241 0.176063 0.279191
2025-06-01 0.011618 0.021848 0.038833 0.068304 0.117102 0.193260 0.319061
2025-06-08 0.009619 0.019228 0.036022 0.066539 0.119265 0.204744 0.351006
2025-06-15 0.008780 0.018507 0.036275 0.069869 0.130045 0.230789 0.408344
2025-06-22 0.007618 0.016945 0.034765 0.069827 0.134934 0.247456 0.451639
2025-06-29 0.006437 0.015116 0.032456 0.067948 0.136233 0.257984 0.485275
2025-07-06 0.005557 0.013741 0.030799 0.067035 0.139097 0.271355 0.524823
2025-07-13 0.005186 0.013436 0.031300 0.070530 0.150878 0.302163 0.598870
2025-07-20 0.004766 0.012942 0.031335 0.073084 0.161119 0.331106 0.672128
2025-07-27 0.004071 0.011647 0.029425 0.071268 0.162355 0.343112 0.714728
2025-08-03 0.003559 0.010703 0.028150 0.070642 0.165935 0.359914 0.767864
2025-08-10 0.003035 0.009609 0.026341 0.068541 0.166088 0.369839 0.808258
2025-08-17 0.002619 0.008719 0.024873 0.067010 0.167268 0.381874 0.853761
2025-08-24 0.002347 0.008181 0.024203 0.067289 0.172517 0.402774 0.918986
2025-08-31 0.002023 0.007412 0.022798 0.065538 0.172848 0.413169 0.963024
2025-09-07 0.001934 0.007362 0.023333 0.068818 0.185456 0.451319 1.069084
2025-09-14 0.001733 0.006900 0.022640 0.068774 0.189979 0.471886 1.138565
2025-09-21 0.001500 0.006267 0.021345 0.066920 0.189787 0.481744 1.185168